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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
31.33% ( -0.03) | 24.94% | 43.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.01) | 46.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0) | 68.89% ( 0.01) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( -0.02) | 28.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.24% ( -0.03) | 63.77% ( 0.03) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( 0.01) | 21.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.69% ( 0.02) | 54.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 39 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | DC United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 15 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Dallas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
| 9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |
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