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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
42.9% ( -0.51) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 31.34% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.12) | 50.16% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.11) | 72.13% ( -0.11) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.19) | 23.25% ( 0.19) |
