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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
57.38% ( -0.05) | 22% ( 0.01) | 20.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.02) | 42.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.01) | 64.97% ( 0.01) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( -0.02) | 14.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.3% ( -0.04) | 42.7% ( 0.04) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( 0.03) | 34.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( 0.03) | 71.19% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.61% |
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