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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
55.83% ( -0.04) | 23.56% ( 0.02) | 20.61% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.04) | 49.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.03) | 71.31% ( 0.03) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( -0.03) | 17.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.04% ( -0.05) | 47.96% ( 0.05) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.01) | 38.29% ( -0.01) |
