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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
50.73% ( 0.08) | 24.19% ( -0.02) | 25.08% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( 0.04) | 47.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( 0.03) | 69.48% ( -0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( 0.05) | 18.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.08) | 49.96% ( -0.07) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( -0.03) | 33.03% ( 0.03) |
