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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
38.66% ( -0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.02) | 35.65% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( 0.11) | 48.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( 0.1) | 70.97% ( -0.1) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( 0.03) | 24.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.04) | 59.44% ( -0.04) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.09) | 26.52% ( -0.09) |
