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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 14 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
66.33% ( -0.63) | 18.88% ( 0.41) | 14.79% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( -1.49) | 38.25% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( -1.61) | 60.53% ( 1.61) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( -0.58) | 10.72% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.35% ( -1.3) | 34.65% ( 1.3) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( -0.65) | 38.51% ( 0.66) |
