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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | CF Montreal |
58.65% ( 0.16) | 21.67% ( -0.04) | 19.68% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.03) | 42.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.03) | 64.77% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( 0.04) | 14.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.2% ( 0.08) | 41.79% ( -0.08) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.15) | 35.3% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.94% ( -0.16) | 72.06% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
| 4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | DC United | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 19 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 18 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Toronto | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |
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