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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 21 | -6 | 23 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | -15 | 20 |
| 9 | Toronto | 21 | -13 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 21 | 4 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
38.99% ( -0.01) | 24.78% ( 0) | 36.22% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.01) | 44.7% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( -0.01) | 67.06% ( 0) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.01) | 22.79% ( 0.01) |
