We said: Sporting Kansas City 0-1 New York Red Bulls
Even though the gap between these sides is currently 13 points, we believe this will be a close encounter between a New York squad who are struggling to find that quality away from home and a KC team that cannot seem to catch a break domestically.
Psychologically New York have a decided edge, and we expect their depth will eventually be able to end their road drought against a side that provide you with plenty of scoring opportunities.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
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