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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
27% ( -0.05) | 25.25% ( -0.16) | 47.75% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( 0.65) | 50.26% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.57) | 72.21% ( -0.57) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0.31) | 33.08% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.32% ( 0.34) | 69.68% ( -0.33) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( 0.37) | 21.07% ( -0.36) |
