Both of these teams have taken their share of knocks, but Miami are the sharper side at the moment and have found ways to win without perhaps their best player in Higuain.
We expect to see Miami come out on top against an Atlanta team who are struggling to stay healthy or show that quality in the final third, while the Herons have a striker in Campana who is in fine form right now.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
