In the early stages of this campaign, Charlotte have shown us how much of an advantage it can be to play at home, and given the question marks surrounding the Five Stripes' top attacking players, look for this expansion side to frustrate Atlanta in the final third while catching them on the break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
