SM
The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
61.85% ( -0.22) | 21.36% ( 0.1) | 16.79% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.24) | 45.63% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -0.23) | 67.96% ( 0.23) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( -0.14) | 14.21% ( 0.14) |
