SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
30.48% ( -0.15) | 26.02% ( -0.07) | 43.5% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( 0.24) | 51.55% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0.2) | 73.34% ( -0.21) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( 0.02) | 31.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.51% ( 0.02) | 67.49% ( -0.02) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( 0.21) | 23.56% ( -0.21) |
