SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
36.63% ( -1.32) | 26.69% ( -0.05) | 36.68% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% ( 0.24) | 53.08% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( 0.2) | 74.66% ( -0.2) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.65) | 27.94% ( 0.65) |
