SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.17% ( 1.56) | 27.34% ( 0.25) | 37.5% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.23% ( -0.79) | 55.77% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.1% ( -0.64) | 76.9% ( 0.66) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( 0.62) | 30.16% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0.73) | 66.3% ( -0.72) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -1.41) | 28.73% ( 1.42) |
