SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.71%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
15.77% ( -0.92) | 21.56% ( -0.38) | 62.68% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.01) | 48.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( -0) | 70.41% ( 0.01) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.62% ( -1.2) | 43.38% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.39% ( -1.02) | 79.61% ( 1.03) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.2% ( 0.42) | 14.81% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.91% ( 0.79) | 43.09% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.77% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.71% ( 0.34)1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 7.46% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 62.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 90 |
| P | Stevenage | 45 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 82 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 80 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 78 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 75 |
| 6 | Salford City | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 75 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 75 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 55 | 15 | 72 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 62 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 58 |
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 58 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 58 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 57 |
| 14 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
| 15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 55 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Walsall | 45 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 52 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 51 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 21 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 48 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 46 |
| R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 51 | 77 | -26 | 42 |
| R | Rochdale | 45 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 37 |
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