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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 1pm UK
One Call Stadium
W
Mansfield
2 - 1
Walsall
Lapslie (15'), Swan (82')
Swan (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bennett (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Walsall

Mansfield are on a brilliant run of form and we expect them to continue that here with a narrow victory. Walsall have been impressive in recent matches, but they will struggle with the absence of Danny Johnson. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawWalsall
64.07% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 21.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 14.84% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)48.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.21% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)14.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.89% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)42.11% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.52% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)80.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 64.07%
    Walsall 14.84%
    Draw 21.08%
Mansfield TownDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-0 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 64.07%
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 14.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Hartlepool
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Northampton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Walsall
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Stockport CountyStockport16112333161735
2Notts County169343328530
3Wrexham168623227530
4Mansfield TownMansfield1578027121529
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe1685335251029
6Morecambe148332316727
7Accrington StanleyAccrington168262421326
8Gillingham168171420-625
9Swindon TownSwindon156543324923
10AFC Wimbledon165742319422
11BarrowBarrow155731714322
12MK Dons166462624222
13Salford City166372624221
14Crawley TownCrawley156362427-321
15Walsall165562428-420
16Bradford CityBradford165561721-420
17Doncaster RoversDoncaster166282025-520
18Harrogate TownHarrogate166191522-719
19Newport CountyNewport165382632-618
20Colchester UnitedColchester155192229-716
21Grimsby Town163582026-614
22Forest Green RoversForest Green1541101827-913
23Tranmere RoversTranmere1631121829-1110
24Sutton UnitedSutton1631122236-1410
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