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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Barrow
0 - 1
Mansfield

White (62'), Bennett (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hawkins (39')
Hartigan (35'), Perch (73'), Hewitt (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 3-1 Mansfield Town

While Mansfield Town will be looking to arrest their slump and kick off their cup campaign on a high, they face a Barrow side who have hit their stride in recent weeks. The hosts have won four of their last five matches and we are backing them to come out victorious once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawMansfield Town
28.27% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 26.18% (0.023 0.02) 45.55% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.067 -0.07)53.21% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)74.77% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.3% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)23.3% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)57.24% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 28.27%
    Mansfield Town 45.55%
    Draw 26.18%
BarrowDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.65% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 45.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Mansfield
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
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