SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Colchester United |
51.49% ( 2.86) | 26.96% ( -0.88) | 21.55% ( -1.98) |
| Both teams to score 42.75% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( 1.28) | 60.69% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( 0.95) | 80.76% ( -0.95) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( 1.9) | 23.8% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.04% ( 2.66) | 57.96% ( -2.66) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.11% ( -1.26) | 43.89% ( 1.26) |
