SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Barrow |
32.02% ( -0.02) | 28.5% ( -0) | 39.48% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.56% ( 0.01) | 60.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.42% ( 0.01) | 80.57% ( -0.01) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( -0.01) | 34.68% ( 0) |
