MX23RW : Saturday, February 4 20:13:41
SM
Saturday, February 4
Sep 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Barrow
2 - 3
Colchester
Stevens (25'), Banks (76' pen.)
Jones (88'), Banks (89')
Jones (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Judge (35'), Sears (38'), Eastman (80')
Chambers (50'), Sarpong-Wiredu (64'), Hannant (72'), Coxe (79'), Nouble (88'), Skuse (89')
Chambers (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawColchester United
29.72%28.88%41.39%
Both teams to score 44.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.69%62.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.03%81.97%
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58%37.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8%74.2%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34%29.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29%65.71%
Score Analysis
    Barrow 29.71%
    Colchester United 41.39%
    Draw 28.87%
BarrowDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 6.52%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.87%
0-1 @ 13.48%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-3 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.01%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 41.39%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient28176536171957
2Stevenage26167339182155
3Carlisle UnitedCarlisle28149548272151
4Northampton TownNorthampton27147642281449
5Salford City28136938281045
6Swindon TownSwindon2811983730742
7Mansfield TownMansfield2712694036442
8Bradford CityBradford2611873125641
9BarrowBarrow28124123337-440
10Stockport CountyStockport271161036251139
11AFC Wimbledon2710983028239
12Sutton UnitedSutton28116112835-739
13Tranmere RoversTranmere2710892923638
14Walsall2510783023737
15Doncaster RoversDoncaster26114113139-837
16Grimsby Town2596102932-333
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe2671092132-1131
18Colchester UnitedColchester2986152937-830
19Newport CountyNewport2778122631-529
20Crawley TownCrawley2567122941-1225
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2666143241-924
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2857162852-2422
23Gillingham2649131431-1721
24Rochdale2855182242-2020
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