We said: Hartlepool United 0-1 Harrogate Town
Hartlepool are facing a harsh winter period as they look to survive in League Two, but a successful run in the FA Cup could help lift spirits around the club.
Harrogate are high on confidence after that brilliant victory over Mansfield and although the atmosphere will be hostile on Saturday, we are backing the visitors to earn a place in the third-round draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
42.55% ( -0) | 26.08% | 31.37% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( 0) |
| 48.53% ( 0) | 51.47% ( -0) |
| 26.72% ( 0) | 73.28% ( -0) |
| 76.01% ( 0) | 23.99% |
