SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
43.86% ( -0.63) | 25.45% ( -0.04) | 30.69% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( 0.48) | 49.1% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( 0.43) | 71.17% ( -0.44) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.09) | 22.33% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.18% ( -0.14) | 55.81% ( 0.13) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( 0.71) | 29.76% ( -0.72) |
