SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
44.17% ( 0.12) | 25.48% ( -0.01) | 30.35% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( 0.01) | 49.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( 0.01) | 71.4% ( -0.01) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( 0.06) | 22.3% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.24% ( 0.09) | 55.76% ( -0.09) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.07) | 30.13% ( 0.07) |
