SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
46.59% ( 0) | 25.75% ( 0) | 27.66% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% ( -0.01) | 51.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( -0) | 73.61% ( 0.01) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( 0) | 22.24% ( 0) |
