SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
61.36% ( -0.06) | 20.56% ( 0) | 18.08% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( 0.08) | 39.81% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( 0.08) | 62.17% ( -0.08) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( 0.01) | 12.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.48% ( 0.01) | 38.52% ( -0.01) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( 0.11) | 35.49% ( -0.11) |
