SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
40.95% ( 0.24) | 28.04% ( -0.05) | 31.01% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.93% ( 0.12) | 59.07% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.47% ( 0.09) | 79.53% ( -0.09) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.19) | 28.33% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.93% ( 0.24) | 64.07% ( -0.24) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( -0.08) | 34.68% ( 0.08) |
