SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Salford City |
35.19% ( 0.19) | 26.96% ( 0.02) | 37.85% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% ( -0.05) | 54.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.36% ( -0.04) | 75.64% ( 0.04) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.09) | 29.37% ( -0.1) |
