SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
31.73% ( 0.1) | 28.07% ( -0.3) | 40.21% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41% ( 1.07) | 59% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.53% ( 0.83) | 79.47% ( -0.82) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( 0.64) | 34.12% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.19% ( 0.68) | 70.81% ( -0.67) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.64) | 28.72% ( -0.63) |
