SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Stockport County |
36.33% ( -0.05) | 26.02% ( -0.01) | 37.65% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( 0.06) | 50.25% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.05) | 72.21% ( -0.05) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0) | 26.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.94% ( -0) | 62.06% ( 0.01) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( 0.06) | 26.02% ( -0.06) |
