SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
55.04% ( -0) | 23.27% ( 0.01) | 21.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( -0.05) | 46.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( -0.05) | 69.04% ( 0.05) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.02) | 16.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.04) | 46.88% ( 0.04) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( -0.04) | 35.81% ( 0.03) |
