SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Stockport County |
34.27% ( 4.45) | 24.21% ( 0.13) | 41.52% ( -4.57) |
| Both teams to score 60.21% ( 1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( 1.16) | 42.3% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( 1.15) | 64.7% ( -1.15) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 3.3) | 24.22% ( -3.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.43% ( 4.46) | 58.57% ( -4.46) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -1.51) | 20.53% ( 1.51) |
