SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
23.13% ( 0.04) | 22% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% ( -0.05) | 39.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.29% ( -0.05) | 61.72% ( 0.06) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( 0) | 30.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.43% ( 0) | 66.58% ( -0) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -0.03) | 14.33% ( 0.04) |
