SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
38.14% ( -0.52) | 27.22% ( 0.09) | 34.64% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.12% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( -0.31) | 55.33% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( -0.26) | 76.54% ( 0.26) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( -0.45) | 28.14% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.19% ( -0.57) | 63.81% ( 0.57) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.12) | 30.26% ( -0.12) |
