SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stockport County |
22.55% ( -0.1) | 21.85% ( -0.18) | 55.6% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.61% ( 0.75) | 39.39% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.78) | 61.73% ( -0.78) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.33) | 30.89% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( 0.38) | 67.18% ( -0.39) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( 0.34) | 14.1% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% ( 0.67) | 41.72% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.6% |
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