SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Mallorca | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | -1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Girona had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Girona |
52.62% ( -0.63) | 25.13% ( 0.42) | 22.25% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -1.42) | 53.68% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -1.21) | 75.17% ( 1.21) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( -0.81) | 20.4% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.18% ( -1.31) | 52.82% ( 1.3) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% ( -0.6) | 39.15% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.13% ( -0.57) | 75.86% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 22.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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