SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Osasuna | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Betis | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Osasuna | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Osasuna |
52.92% ( 0.29) | 24.17% ( -0.34) | 22.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( 1.42) | 49.21% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( 1.27) | 71.27% ( -1.27) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.66) | 18.55% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.2% ( 1.09) | 49.8% ( -1.09) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( 0.83) | 36.01% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.21% ( 0.84) | 72.79% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.91% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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