SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Betis | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Betis | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 3 | 7 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
62.37% ( 0.62) | 21.21% ( -0.12) | 16.42% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.38) | 45.62% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% ( -0.37) | 67.94% ( 0.37) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% ( 0.07) | 14.04% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.39% ( 0.13) | 41.61% ( -0.13) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0.86) | 40.94% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.49% ( -0.78) | 77.5% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.36% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.2% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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