SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
35.38% ( -0.19) | 25.4% ( -0) | 39.22% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( -0.01) | 47.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( -0.01) | 69.8% ( 0.01) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.12) | 26.08% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.87% ( -0.16) | 61.13% ( 0.16) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( 0.09) | 23.97% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.79% ( 0.14) | 58.21% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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