SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
25.3% ( -0.18) | 22.79% ( 0.01) | 51.91% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.18% ( -0.22) | 40.82% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( -0.23) | 63.21% ( 0.23) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -0.25) | 29.42% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% ( -0.32) | 65.41% ( 0.32) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.01% ( -0.04) | 44.99% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
