SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
42.35% ( -0.01) | 23.26% ( -0) | 34.38% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.75% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0) | 37.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.06% ( 0) | 59.93% ( -0.01) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( -0) | 18.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.69% | 49.3% ( -0) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0) | 22.01% ( -0.01) |
