SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | NEC |
52.79% ( -0.27) | 23.73% ( 0.14) | 23.48% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.46) | 46.81% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( -0.44) | 69.07% ( 0.43) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -0.28) | 17.7% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.66% ( -0.47) | 48.34% ( 0.47) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.14) | 34.17% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.13% ( -0.15) | 70.87% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.78% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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