SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
70.03% ( -0.55) | 18.2% ( 0.29) | 11.77% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.65) | 42.44% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.65) | 64.84% ( 0.65) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( -0.32) | 10.93% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.87% ( -0.71) | 35.13% ( 0.71) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.03) | 45.79% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.44% ( 0.02) | 81.56% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.2% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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