SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
61.8% ( 0.32) | 21.45% ( 0.01) | 16.75% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.6) | 46.08% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( -0.57) | 68.38% ( 0.57) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( -0.1) | 14.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.75% ( -0.18) | 42.25% ( 0.18) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0.77) | 40.8% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.62% ( -0.7) | 77.37% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 27 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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