Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
