SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | NEC |
38.59% ( 0.38) | 25.78% ( 0.08) | 35.63% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( -0.4) | 49.25% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( -0.36) | 71.31% ( 0.36) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 0.02) | 25.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.27% ( 0.03) | 59.72% ( -0.04) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0.46) | 26.71% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.02% ( -0.61) | 61.97% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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