SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
30.71% ( 0.01) | 22.87% ( 0) | 46.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( -0.01) | 37.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( -0) | 59.43% ( 0.01) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( 0) | 23.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.93% ( 0) | 58.06% ( -0) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0) | 16.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.84% ( -0.01) | 46.16% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.71% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 4.48% Total : 46.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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