Utrecht have a fantastic record in this fixture and will back themselves to get the better of a Groningen side who have been solid of late. We expect a tight affair here and a narrow victory for the home side at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
